Linkage of Non-Deliverable Rupee Forwards with the Onshore Spot and Forwards Market

Satish D.*, V. Sankara Narayanan**, Anubhav***
* Assistant Professor, Department of Finance, IBS Hyderabad, India.
** Chief Manager, Integrated Treasury Branch, UCO Bank, India.
*** Student, Department of Management, IBS Hyderabad, India.
Periodicity:September - November'2010
DOI : https://doi.org/10.26634/jmgt.5.2.1295

Abstract

The paper does a detailed analysis of Non Deliverable Forwards (NDF) rupee market with a view to understand the linkages between domestic Spot, forwards and off shore NDF market for Indian rupee Various tests are done on the data for the period 1st January 2007 to 31st March 2010. The paper finds that the bid-ask spread is less in case of domestic market than that of the NDF market which clearly suggests that there is higher liquidity in the domestic market. . ARCH/GARCH test also suggests that the volatility in the NDF market is more than that of onshore market.  Interestingly, the results of Granger Causality Test suggest that there is sufficient information flow between onshore Spot, forwards market and NDF market with two way causality between onshore Spot market and NDF market. This means that the policy makers cannot ignore the importance of NDF markets.

Keywords

Non-deliverable forwards,Volatility,Bid-Ask spread,Spill over effect, GARCH model,Granger Causality Test.

How to Cite this Article?

Satish D., V. Sankara Narayanan and Anubhav (2010). Linkage of Non-Deliverable Rupee Forwards with the Onshore Spot and Forwards Market. i-manager’s Journal on Management, 5(2), 13-24. https://doi.org/10.26634/jmgt.5.2.1295

References

[1]. Bollerslev, Tim, (1986). “Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity ” , Journal of Econometrics, 31:307-327, 1986.
[2]. Chakrabarti, Rajesh, (2007). "Offshore Betting on the Indian Rupee- the Non-Deliverable Forwards Market", ISB insight, The Indian School of Business Magazine, December, pp. 14-16.
[3]. Colavecchio Roberta and Funke Michael, (2006). “Volatility transmissions between Renminbi and Asia- Pacific on-shore and off-shore U.S. dollar futures”, BOFIT Discussion Papers, Bank of Finland, Institute for Economies in Transition, No.16, pp. 7-34.
[4]. Engle, Robert F., (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of Variance of United Kingdom Inflation, Econometrica 50:987-1008.
[5]. Guru Anuradha, (2008). “Non-Deliverable Forwards Market For Indian Rupee: An Empirical Study”, National Stock Exchange of India Ltd., pp. 1-16.
[6]. Michael Hutchison, Jake Kendall, Gurnain Kaur, Pasricha Nirvikar Singh (2009), “Indian Capital Control Liberalization: Estimates from NDF Markets”, Munich Personal RePEC Archive, February, pp. 1-11.
[7]. Lipscomb, Laura, (2005). “An Overview of Non- Deliverable Foreign Exchange Forwards Markets”, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, May, pp. 1-6.
[8]. Ma, Guonan, Corrinne Ho and Robert N Mccauley, (2004). "The Markets for Non- deliverable forwards in Asian Currencies" BIS Quarterly Review, June, pp.1-10.
[9]. Misra, S., and Behera H. (2006). “Non-deliverable foreign exchange forwards market: An Overview”, Reserve Bank of India Occasional Papers, Vol. 27, No 3, pp.1-31.
[10]. Park, Jinwoo, (2001). “Information flows between non-deliverable forwards (NDF)/and Spot markets: Evidence from Korean currency”, Pacific Basin Finance Journal, 9(4), pp. 363-377.
[11]. Wang Kai-Li, Fawson Christopher and Chen Mei- Ling, (2007). “Information Flows among Exchange Rate Markets: What Do We Learn From Non-Deliverable Forwards Markets in Asia?” Chaoyang University of Technology, October. pp. 1-10.
If you have access to this article please login to view the article or kindly login to purchase the article

Purchase Instant Access

Single Article

North Americas,UK,
Middle East,Europe
India Rest of world
USD EUR INR USD-ROW
Online 15 15

Options for accessing this content:
  • If you would like institutional access to this content, please recommend the title to your librarian.
    Library Recommendation Form
  • If you already have i-manager's user account: Login above and proceed to purchase the article.
  • New Users: Please register, then proceed to purchase the article.